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> gas prices, take 2
scotty914
post Aug 29 2005, 02:39 PM
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okay with the hurrican i have been watching a lot of fox news. according to opec they will pump more oil to help. here is the crazy part opec is going to hold a meeting next month to figure out why gas prices are as high as they are, they stated the opec pumps and sells the oil at 12 per barrel.

so who ever is buying the oil at 12 per barrel is marking it up to a current price of 67 a barrel, i wonder if this is along the lines of enron, artificially marking up the oil.

i have read a few things lately about oil wells, some thing like 70 % of the wells that were dry 10 to 20 years ago now have oil in them again, and but that they mean full flow pumping, not partial.

right now there is a 55 billion gallon oil surpluse ( just heard it ) in storage in this country.

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brer
post Aug 30 2005, 01:15 PM
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QUOTE
2 Billion from the White House for exploration


exploration is down nearly 30% in the past 10 years.

Dont you think if there was more oil out there they would be spending the money to find it? The facts as they appear is that it is not in their best interest to go looking for it. No more profit to pursue in that area which is why the white house is giving them money. To make exploration economically attractive.


When was the last oil refinery in California built? or anywhere in the US? How many of them?
One of you guys in the oil business surely must know where to find that fact.

No new refineries are being put up because its a losing investment. Production is dropping and putting in more refineries doesn't make sense if the supply can be handled with the current facilities and there is no expected increase in production. Its not the environmentalists that are keeping this from happening because we all know that if the powers that be want a refinery they'll get a refinery.

Oil is on the downslope of its production bellcurve, dropping 3% a year, and those in the know are already preparing for the eventual consequences. I personnally know an Exxon/Mobil CEO who has just invested in a lovely cabin way up in the mountains of Canada as a "retreat". He gave me the short version of why he wanted to move there which is basically this.

You couple a decrease in production with an increase in industrial activity across the globe and you're going to get two things.

higher resource costs and war over those remaining resources.

Is this is already happening?


Cheney was aware of this in 1999

Quote
"By some estimates, there will be an average of two-percent
annual growth in global oil demand over the years ahead,
along with, conservatively, a three-percent natural decline
in production from existing reserves. That means by 2010
we will need on the order of an additional 50 million barrels a
day." Dick Cheney

have a look here

if you're into more "BS"


Take a second here to think about the White House's energy policy since Bush first took office.
Securing a reliable enegy sources for America has been at the top of his list since day one and it has been the drving force in much of his policy making. Please correct me if i'm wrong here. This is because he recognizes the immenent problem facing america, not because he is trying to get rich (well, not entirely). I believe he has been taking the steps he sees as necessary, right or wrong, to put america in a good position for the next 50 years with respect to energy supplies.

Its not BS IMO.

I think we are living at the end of a golden age of expansion for our civilization. Oil isn't going to run out anytime soon but as production decreases and global demand increases our society is going to face a major contraction of both poplulation and industry as our oil economy struggles with its thirst. It isn't going to take a huge decrease in production to make this happen either.


I know, i dont know what i'm talking about. Alternative resources, Hydrogen?
Hydrogen cells are BS. They need platinum which does not exist in the quatity needed.
Solar? there isn't enough real estate, and besides you need oil to produce them.

these are the signs i see.

War in Iraq
China manouvering politcally and economically to gain control of Americas sources of energy here in the US and abroad.
decrease in exploration
decrease in production
increase in operating levels of existing pumping facilities
increase in demand worldwide
America squaring off against EVERY oil producer who isn't giving us preferred treatment


QUOTE
As previously posted, we can bitch about how much money the shareholders are making or we can join the ranks and become shareholders. that way when they make money, we make money. That is what I have done.


sounds like a good plan. Make some money and buy a nice house somewhere on a lake with good fishing far away from everyone else.

excuse my craziness, but you cant discuss oil without bringing up PEAK OIL theory and its potential affects on society.
and that CEO parts isn't BS. back to work for me.

b.


edit: forgive the speeeeling and grammar and brevity, it is obviously too much for me to handle properly in one post. (IMG:http://www.914world.com/bbs2/html/emoticons/blink.gif)
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Posts in this topic
scott thacher   gas prices   Aug 29 2005, 02:39 PM
olav   I wonder if that is how the war is being financed?...   Aug 29 2005, 02:55 PM
!   Naw....no big secret....we're just getting dic...   Aug 29 2005, 03:03 PM
tdgray   Come on' guys... just good old greed, nothin e...   Aug 29 2005, 03:10 PM
lapuwali   There are "emergency reserves", which are held by ...   Aug 29 2005, 03:24 PM
SGB   Please don't rely on the media (fox, cnn, npr,...   Aug 29 2005, 03:41 PM
scott thacher   no the 55 billion gallons is privately held by the...   Aug 29 2005, 03:52 PM
914GT     Aug 29 2005, 04:03 PM
AndyC   Damn you guys have it sooooooo bad ...   Aug 29 2005, 04:07 PM
brer   so who's ready for life after the crash then? ...   Aug 29 2005, 04:12 PM
cooltimes   Isn't this likely just business as usual in th...   Aug 29 2005, 04:15 PM
brer     Aug 29 2005, 04:15 PM
double-a   it's a bit like diamonds really. you go into a...   Aug 29 2005, 04:39 PM
Howard   Just wondering... Did my early Sunday AM canyon to...   Aug 29 2005, 04:44 PM
!     Aug 29 2005, 04:56 PM
SLITS   I typed something but then deleted it....after all...   Aug 29 2005, 05:00 PM
xitspd     Aug 29 2005, 05:09 PM
MattR   i'd like to put out a public apology. My rece...   Aug 29 2005, 05:10 PM
Aaron Cox     Aug 29 2005, 05:15 PM
cooltimes     Aug 29 2005, 05:23 PM
dmenche914   Oil prices being high are due to the raise in dema...   Aug 29 2005, 07:46 PM
Mrs. K     Aug 29 2005, 07:57 PM
lapuwali   The main point of that graph was to show that, unt...   Aug 29 2005, 08:23 PM
redshift     Aug 29 2005, 08:27 PM
scott thacher   okay, i dont see some of the crap over seas as bei...   Aug 29 2005, 08:40 PM
redshift   Our biggest problem is refining. We have a daily ...   Aug 29 2005, 09:14 PM
JB 914     Aug 29 2005, 09:17 PM
Aaron Cox   <...   Aug 29 2005, 09:27 PM
JB 914     Aug 29 2005, 10:33 PM
Speedster07   I lived in the big D and sold oil for Sunset Energ...   Aug 29 2005, 10:38 PM
scott thacher   ...   Aug 29 2005, 10:44 PM
JB 914   ...   Aug 30 2005, 01:41 AM
Brent   ...   Aug 30 2005, 01:47 AM
redshift     Aug 30 2005, 09:55 AM
AndyC     Aug 30 2005, 10:10 AM
Sammy   We have a responsibility to verify that things we ...   Aug 30 2005, 10:16 AM
lapuwali   Well done, Sammy.   Aug 30 2005, 10:26 AM
Sammy   One last thing: $67 a barrel for crude oil i...   Aug 30 2005, 11:22 AM
Rockaria   I have a plan to bottom out the oil market and get...   Aug 30 2005, 11:39 AM
lapuwali   ...   Aug 30 2005, 11:51 AM
Sammy   That is in part why I am invested in independant o...   Aug 30 2005, 12:36 PM
brer  
  Aug 30 2005, 01:15 PM markb     Aug 30 2005, 01:37 PM
Sammy   The last new oil refinery in the US was built in 1...   Aug 30 2005, 02:21 PM
brer   At what point does the cost of fuel make your 914 ...   Aug 30 2005, 02:32 PM
markb     Aug 30 2005, 02:49 PM
cooltimes   When nobody has any money left after buying a tank...   Aug 30 2005, 05:17 PM
Brent     Aug 30 2005, 05:33 PM
Brent     Aug 30 2005, 05:40 PM
Sammy   they went from just under 6% profit last year, to ...   Aug 30 2005, 06:21 PM
redshift     Aug 30 2005, 06:30 PM
redshift   Oil is not drying up for a while. The problem is ...   Aug 30 2005, 06:35 PM
markb   Hmmm, sounds like I need to invest in SammySeals...   Aug 30 2005, 07:09 PM
SGB   hmmm, Sounds like miles needs a little sleep (or i...   Aug 30 2005, 10:30 PM
grantsfo   Buy oil stocks and drive a car that gets 50 mpg. T...   Aug 30 2005, 10:36 PM
Sammy   Whooooo Hooooo! Valero VLO just broke $1...   Aug 31 2005, 08:39 AM
Brent   Good for you Sammy... its probably due to the mis-...   Aug 31 2005, 12:47 PM
redshift   Watch it Sammy! The tide is getting tricky. ...   Aug 31 2005, 07:58 PM
grantsfo     Aug 31 2005, 11:39 PM


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